New Polling Released on Ford's interference in Toronto elections

Following Ford's undemocratic proposal to fundamentally change Toronto's election while it is underway, Progress Toronto and the Broadbent Institute asked Abacus Data to conduct a survey in Toronto.

Abacus Data surveyed Toronto residents and the findings are clear:  2 in 3 Torontonians want Premier Ford to postpone making this decision until after the elections or to scrap this idea entirely. This includes 1 in 3 Ford voters. 

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David Coletto from Abacus Data says:  “our survey finds that a clear majority think the way the Premier and his government approached the issue was inappropriate.. Most think he should have consulted more and only 37% approve of the timing of the decision given that the municipal election had already begun."

Coletto says that "Doug Ford promised to listen to, and govern for, the people. But in this decision, a clear majority of Toronto residents and a sizeable portion of his own supporters think the way he went about making the decision was wrong. They want him to listen and consult more and most think the timing is inappropriate"

Coletto says that "in the end, most, including one in three Tory voters, want the government to either postpone the change until after the upcoming municipal election or scrap the idea entirely."

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The following is taken from the Abacus Data report. You can see their full report here [pdf].


FINDING #1
By a 3 to 1 margin, Torontonians think that the provincial government should either consider postponing the change in council size until after the election or scrap the proposal entirely.

When asked what the provincial government should do, 47% believe that the provincial government should consider postponing the change until after the election given the timing and lack of consultation. 32% feel that the government should proceed with the change now while 22% want the entire proposal scraped.

Even one in three of those who voted PC in the recent election think the government should either scrap the proposal entirely or consider postponing it until after the election.

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FINDING #2
More people disapprove of the way
Premier Ford and the provincial handled its decision to reduce the size of Toronto city council, including one in five of those who voted PC in the last election.

In total, 47% disapprove of the way Premier Ford and his government handled the issue while 40% approve of the approach the government took. Another 12% didn’t care either way. Negative reaction to the decision was more intense than positive reaction given the number of folks who strongly disapproved was almost double the number who strongly approved. Almost one in five PC voters disapproved of the way the issue was handled.

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FINDING #3
Most Toronto residents believe that the provincial government and Doug Ford did not consult Toronto residents or city officials who run elections enough before making the decision to reduce the size of city council. Another 50% disapprove the timing of the decision given that the municipal campaign had already started.

Most Toronto residents feel that there wasn’t enough consultation with city election officials nor with Torontonians before the decision to reduce the size of Toronto city council was made. 53% think the provincial government didn’t consult with city election officials enough while 14% feel they did more than enough and another 33% think they consulted enough.

More feel that not enough was done to consult with Toronto residents (57%) while 12% feel more than enough was done and 31% said enough was done to consult with Toronto residents. 33% of PC voters felt that the government did not consult enough with city residents.

Half of Toronto residents disapproved (including 30% who strongly disapproved) with the timing of the decision compared with 37% who did approve. 21% of PC voters disapproved with the timing of the decision.

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FINDING #4
58% to 42%: Torontonians think that Toronto city council
should decide the number of seats on Toronto city council versus Premier Doug Ford and the provincial government.

When asked who should make the decision about the number of seats on Toronto city council. 58% felt Toronto city council should decide while 42% felt the decision should be left to the Premier and the provincial government. One in five (19%) of PC voters felt that Toronto city council should decide the issue.

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Methodology
This Abacus Data survey commissioned by the Broadbent Institute and Progress Toronto, was conducted online with 907 Torontonians aged 18 and over July 30 to August 1, 2018. A random sample of panelists was invited to complete the survey from randomly selected Canadian adults who are members of Research Now’s online panel.

The Marketing Research and Intelligence Association policy limits statements about margins of sampling error for most online surveys. The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 3.3%, 19 times out of 20. The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Toronto's population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region of the city. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding. 

View the full report from Abacus Data here [pdf]

What Premier Ford means for Toronto

It happened.

Doug Ford is Premier of Ontario and, like us, you’re probably not feeling so great today.

We have work to do. Premier Ford means our 2018 city council and school board elections are more important than ever. Will you commit to voting for progress in Toronto’s elections this fall? progresstoronto.ca/yes

Make no mistake: Doug Ford will have his eyes on electing conservative candidates to city hall and the school board in Toronto.

But the silver lining of last night's election results is that Progressives won in Toronto.

Over 738,000 of the votes cast in Toronto were votes against Doug Ford. That means 2 in 3 Torontonians voted for someone other than Doug. More than 400,000 people voted for the NDP, more than 287,000 for the Liberals, and 33,000 for the Greens. Ford received little more than 359,000 votes.

If we band together we can elect more progressive champions for our city than ever before to protect us from what Doug Ford has planned for Toronto.

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